Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.107323e-03 0.001259 0.001412 0.001578 0.001753 0.001931 0.002126
2025-03-30 8.871423e-04 0.001103 0.001331 0.001585 0.001860 0.002146 0.002465
2025-04-06 7.376841e-04 0.001003 0.001292 0.001624 0.001992 0.002381 0.002821
2025-04-13 6.403705e-04 0.000948 0.001294 0.001701 0.002159 0.002652 0.003216
2025-04-20 4.811852e-04 0.000803 0.001182 0.001641 0.002169 0.002745 0.003413
2025-04-27 3.460287e-04 0.000670 0.001071 0.001572 0.002160 0.002813 0.003578
2025-05-04 2.874296e-04 0.000627 0.001062 0.001618 0.002280 0.003022 0.003899
2025-05-11 1.915128e-04 0.000516 0.000960 0.001546 0.002257 0.003066 0.004029
2025-05-18 1.100574e-04 0.000407 0.000848 0.001453 0.002204 0.003069 0.004111
2025-05-25 6.457987e-05 0.000342 0.000788 0.001419 0.002218 0.003147 0.004275
2025-06-01 2.591304e-05 0.000268 0.000706 0.001352 0.002186 0.003169 0.004371
2025-06-08 8.236011e-06 0.000223 0.000662 0.001331 0.002209 0.003253 0.004538
2025-06-15 8.831982e-07 0.000200 0.000662 0.001388 0.002352 0.003509 0.004940
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000159 0.000628 0.001397 0.002438 0.003699 0.005269
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000134 0.000616 0.001436 0.002563 0.003938 0.005658
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000122 0.000628 0.001510 0.002734 0.004234 0.006117
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000075 0.000555 0.001454 0.002732 0.004318 0.006325
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000038 0.000482 0.001389 0.002714 0.004380 0.006503
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000029 0.000479 0.001433 0.002842 0.004623 0.006898
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000008 0.000411 0.001365 0.002814 0.004668 0.007054
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000337 0.001278 0.002754 0.004670 0.007156
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000298 0.001246 0.002770 0.004766 0.007370
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000246 0.001183 0.002736 0.004797 0.007502